What you'll learn
- Calculate effective leverage for an account
- Relate it to how far the market must move to wipe you out
- Set a personal ceiling
The calculation
Total notional exposure divided by equity. Equity 5,000, exposure 25,000: effective leverage 1:5. The reciprocal tells you how far the market must move against everything at once to lose the whole account: at 1:5 it is 20 percent, which does not happen in a day in the majors; at 1:50 it is 2 percent, which happens every few weeks.
A ceiling that fits
| Effective leverage | Move to lose everything | Who runs it |
|---|---|---|
| 1:2 | 50 percent | Very conservative, long-term |
| 1:5 | 20 percent | Professional and prudent retail |
| 1:10 | 10 percent | Active retail, with tight stops |
| 1:20 | 5 percent | Aggressive; a large news day can end it |
| 1:50 or more | 2 percent or less | The typical blown account |
Leverage and stop distance
Effective leverage and stop distance together set the risk per trade. A 1:10 account with a 50-pip stop on a single position risks about 5 percent of equity on that trade if the pair is around parity, because 50 pips is 0.5 percent of the position and the position is ten times the equity. To hold risk per trade at 1 percent with a 50-pip stop, the position must be twice equity, effective leverage 1:2 for that trade. This is the link between the leverage number and the sizing lesson that follows.
A rule
Decide a maximum effective leverage for the whole account, perhaps 1:5 for a beginner, and check it before every new trade by adding the new position to the exposure. If it would exceed the ceiling, the trade is too large or another position must close. The margin calculator on this site shows the exposure a lot size creates.
Key takeaways
- Effective leverage is exposure over equity; its reciprocal is the move that wipes you out.
- Prudent accounts run 1:5 or less; blown accounts run 1:50.
- Leverage and stop distance together set risk per trade.
- Set a ceiling and check it before every trade.
Knowledge check
Trading forex, CFDs and other leveraged products carries a high risk of losing money. This lesson is general education, not advice. Risk disclosure.